The Philadelphia Eagles and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in the NFC divisional playoffs at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
The Philadelphia Eagles have a chance to make back-to-back NFC championship games with another upset road victory. The Philadelphia Eagles have won each of their last three road games. Nick Foles is completing 72.3 percent of his passes for 1,413 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Foles has a combined six touchdown passes in his last two games. Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffery have combined for 2,006 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Nelson Agholor has 64 receptions. The Philadelphia Eagles ground game is averaging 98.1 yards per contest, and Josh Adams leads the way with 511 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Philadelphia is allowing 21.8 points and 366.2 yards per game. Malcolm Jenkins leads the Philadelphia Eagles with 97 tackles, Fletcher Cox has 10.5 sacks and Rasul Douglas has three interceptions.
The New Orleans Saints will make the championship game for the first time since the 2009 season with a victory here. The New Orleans Saints have won six of their last seven home games. Drew Brees is completing 74.4 percent of his passes for 3,992 yards, 32 touchdowns and five interceptions. Brees has two or more touchdown passes in 12 of his last 21 games. Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara have combined for 2,114 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Tre’Quan Smith has 28 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 126.6 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 883 yards and 14 touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 22.1 points and 349.1 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 110 tackles, Cameron Jordan has 12 sacks and Marcus Williams has two interceptions.
The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Saints are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in January and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games overall. The over is 22-8 in Eagles last 30 road games.
The Philadelphia Eagles have won six of their last seven games SU and have also won seven of their last 10 games when an underdog of any kind. The New Orleans Saints have lost just once since opening weekend with their starters playing, and their last three home victories have come by an average of 19.3 points. The Philadelphia Eagles have covered six of their last 10 games when an underdog of at least three points. The New Orleans Saints have failed to cover four of their last five games when a favorite of at least three points. The New Orleans Saints have been my Super Bowl pick for a couple of months now before the oddsmakers pegged them as the favorites. The Saints have the ability to blow teams away, especially at home, and we all know how the meeting against the Eagles in mid-November between these two teams went. On the flip side, the Eagles simply find ways to win whenever Foles is playing quarterback. It’s like UConn in March. You can’t explain it, but it just happens. The Eagles have won 14 of the last 16 games Foles has played, which of course includes four playoff victories. At some point you stop going against these things and just accept it for what it is. No, I don’t think the Saints will lose this game, but I’m certainly not leaving this many points on the board with a confident Eagles squad that has proven us wrong time and time again in the postseason and has won 70 percent of their last 10 games as an underdog.